江苏省农产品出口影响因素研究

Research on the Influencing Factors of Agricultural Product Exports in Jiangsu Province

摘要: 农业是我国经济发展的基础产业，农产品出口在我国经济发展中处于重要地位。江苏省作为我国东部沿海农业大省之一，自然条件较为优越，农产品出口能力位居我国前列。系统地分析江苏省农产品出口的影响因素，有利于确定提升江苏省农产品出口竞争力的关键因素，进而推动江苏省农业持续、健康的发展。文章以江苏省农产品出口影响因素为研究对象，通过外部和内部两个方面对江苏省农产品出口的影响因素进行定性分析，并在此基础上运用多元线性回归模型进行定量分析，得出影响江苏省农产品出口的因素主要有江苏省人均农业产值、人民币对美元的汇率以及江苏省农产品的国际市场占有率，最后针对分析得到的结果提出相应的对策建议。

Abstract: Agriculture serves as the foundational industry for China’s economic development, with agricultural product exports playing a pivotal role in China’s economic growth. As one of the major agricultural provinces along China’s eastern coast, Jiangsu boasts relatively favorable natural conditions and ranks among the top in terms of agricultural product export capacity. Conducting a systematic analysis of the influencing factors on Jiangsu’s agricultural product exports is essential for identifying key elements to enhance its competitiveness in this sector, thereby promoting sustainable and healthy agricultural development in the province. This study focuses on the influencing factors of Jiangsu’s agricultural product exports, conducting a qualitative analysis from both external and internal perspectives. Building on this, a multiple linear regression model is employed for quantitative analysis, revealing that the primary factors affecting Jiangsu’s agricultural product exports include the province’s per capita agricultural output value, the exchange rate of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar, and Jiangsu’s international market share of agricultural products. Finally, corresponding countermeasures and recommendations are proposed based on the findings.