山东省新型城镇化与产业结构的协调发展研究

The Research of the Coordinated Development of New Urbanization and Industrial Structure in Shandong Province

摘要: 通过构建新型城镇化和产业结构综合评价指标体系，运用AHP层次分析法和计量模型测算山东省新型城镇化、产业结构发展指数，建立新型城镇化与产业结构耦合协调度模型，分析其耦合发展态势与空间差异。结果表明：2000~2016年，山东省新型城镇化和产业结构发展水平逐年提高，二者的耦合协调度不断提升，但阶段性特征明显；产业结构生态化和高级化对新型城镇化与产业结构耦合协调发展的推动作用显著；17地市新型城镇化和产业结构耦合协调度区域差异显著，空间分布呈“东高西低，北高南低”。山东省要积极响应国家政策，充分发挥政府引导作用，加快产业结构升级转型，促进高新技术、绿色产业发展，以发挥产业转型和结构升级对新型城镇化的发展带动作用，同时加快城乡一体化进程、贯彻生态文明理念、坚持可持续发展，促进新型城镇化水平和质量的提升，走“产城融合”协调发展的新路子。

Abstract: This paper builds a comprehensive evaluation index system of new urbanization and industrial structure, then uses AHP analytic hierarchy process and econometric model to calculate the de-velopment index of new urbanization and industrial structure in Shandong Province, and establish a coupling coordination degree model of new urbanization and industrial structure to analyze its coupling development trend and spatial difference. The results show that from 2000 to 2016, the level of new urbanization and industrial structure development in Shandong Province has been in-creasing year by year, and the degree of coupling and coordination between the new urbanization and industrial structure has been increasing, but the characteristics of stages are obvious; Ecolog-ical and advanced industrial structure plays a significant role in promoting the coupling and coor-dinated development of new urbanization and industrial structure. There are significant regional differences in the degree of coupling and coordination between new urbanization and industrial structure in 17 cities, in which the spatial distribution is “high in the east and low in the west, high in the north and low in the south”. Shandong Province should actively respond to national policy; give full play to the government guide, in order to speed up the upgradation of the industrial structure; promote the development of high technology and the green industry; play the role on the industry transformation and structure upgrade that leads the development of new urbanization; at the same time speed up the integration of urban and rural areas; implement ecological civilization concept; insist on sustainable development; promote the new urbanization level and the quality of the ascension and take the road of coordinated development of “integration of industry and city”.