镇江市产业结构与碳排放耦合协调发展分析

Analysis on the Coordinated Development of Industrial Structure and Carbon Emission in Zhenjiang City

摘要: 在低碳经济发展背景下，本文以全国低碳试点城市——镇江市为研究对象，首先从人均碳排放量、碳排放密度、碳排放强度和碳生产力四个方面综合衡量碳排放水平；然后对镇江市产业结构高级度、合理度、集中度进行计算；接着分别对镇江市的碳排放水平和产业结构的高级度、合理度、集中度进行耦合协调分析。结论如下：1) 碳排放水平及其各指标地区差异明显，碳排放水平由高到低依次是市辖区、句容市、丹阳市、扬中市。2) 产业结构分布在各地区之间也表现出了巨大的差异性，三个维度相对高水平的是丹阳市，其次是扬中市、市辖区、句容市。3) 镇江市各地区整体耦合协调度偏低，碳排放水平与产业结构演化没有协调发展，且空间呈现很大的不均衡态势。最后，本文对镇江市如何实现产业结构调整与碳排放的高质量耦合协调发展提出政策建议。

Abstract: In the context of low-carbon economy development, this paper takes Zhenjiang City, a low-carbon pilot city in China, as the research object. Firstly, it comprehensively measures carbon emission levels from four aspects: per capita carbon emissions, carbon emission density, carbon emission intensity and carbon productivity. The high-level, rationality and concentration of industrial structure in Zhenjiang City were calculated. Then, the carbon emission level of Zhenjiang City and the advanced degree, rationality and concentration of industrial structure were analyzed and co-ordinated. The conclusions are as follows: 1) The carbon emission level and its various indicators are significantly different. The order of carbon emission from high to low is the municipal district, Jurong City, Danyang City and Yangzhong City. 2) The distribution of industrial structure has also shown great differences among different regions. The three levels are relatively high in Danyang City, followed by Yangzhong City, Municipal District and Jurong City. 3) The overall coupling coor-dination degree of Zhenjiang City is low, the carbon emission level and the industrial structure evolution are not coordinated, and the space presents a large imbalance. Finally, this paper pro-poses policy recommendations on how Zhenjiang City can achieve high-quality coupling and coor-dinated development of industrial structure adjustment and carbon emissions.