贫困区县干旱灾害与贫困度耦合关系分析
Analysis of Coupled Relationship between Drought Disaster and Poverty in Poor Areas
DOI: 10.12677/JWRR.2019.85053, PDF,    科研立项经费支持
作者: 侯 迎, 戴冠洲, 李媛媛：宁夏大学资源环境学院，宁夏 银川
关键词: 干旱；贫困；耦合模型；宁夏；六盘山；Drought； Poverty； Coupling Model； Ningxia； Liupan Mountain
摘要: 选取宁夏六盘山贫困区的五个贫困区县作为研究区域，以统计资料为基础数据，运用因子分析法和主成分分析方法，建立干旱度与贫困度的综合指标体系，分析该区近十年干旱度和贫困度的变化规律，及干旱度与贫困度的耦合关系。结果显示：宁夏六盘山区十年间的干旱度总体上比较高，各县区贫困度随着时间的演进呈下降趋势；贫困度与干旱度呈现较强的耦合关系。由于研究区处于生态脆弱区域，且易造成干旱灾害与贫困的恶性循环，需考虑灾害风险管理、预防及灾后恢复的综合防灾机制。
Abstract: Five poverty-stricken counties in the poor areas of Liupan Mountain in Ningxia were selected as research areas. Factor analysis and principal component analysis were used to establish a comprehensive indicator system for drought and poverty. Additionally, the changes of drought and poverty and the coupling relationship between drought and poverty in the past decade were analyzed. The results showed that: the drought degree in the Liupan Mountain area of Ningxia was generally high in the past decade. Secondly, the poverty level of each county had a downward trend with the evolution of time. Thirdly, there was a strong coupled relationship between poverty and drought disaster. Since the study area was prone to a vicious circle of drought and poverty, it was necessary to consider a comprehensive disaster prevention mechanism for disaster risk management, prevention and disaster recovery.
文章引用：侯迎, 戴冠洲, 李媛媛. 贫困区县干旱灾害与贫困度耦合关系分析[J]. 水资源研究, 2019, 8(5): 465-472. https://doi.org/10.12677/JWRR.2019.85053

参考文献

[1] 金鑫. 当代中国应对自然灾害导致返贫的对策研究[D]: [博士学位论文]. 长春: 吉林大学, 2015. JIN Xin. Countermeasure research on contemporary China’s response to natural disasters reducing poverty. Changchun: Jilin University, 2015. (in Chinese)
[2] OVERPECK, J. T., MEEHL, G. A., BONY, S., et al. Climate data challenges in the 21st century. Science, 2011, 331(6018): 700-702.
[3] 马力文, 李凤霞, 梁旭. 宁夏干旱及其对农业生产的影响[J]. 干旱地区农业研究, 2001(4): 102-109. MA Liwen, LI Fengxia and LIANG Xu. Drought in Ningxia and its impact on agricultural production. Journal of Agricultural Research in Arid Regions, 2001(4): 102-109. (in Chinese)
[4] 王晨, 黄馨, 黄晓军. 西北地区城市干旱脆弱性评价研究[J]. 水资源与水工程学报, 2019, 30(1): 114-121. WANG Chen, HUANG Xin and HUANG Xiaojun. Assessment of urban drought vulnerability of Northwest China. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering, 2019, 30(1): 114-121. (in Chinese)
[5] 王玉静. 武陵山特困区贫困与自然灾害关系耦合研究[D]: [硕士学位论文]. 成都: 成都理工大学, 2017. WANG Yujing. Coupling study on the relationship between poverty and natural disasters in the poor area of Wuling Mountainous. Chengdu: Chengdu University of Technology, 2017. (in Chinese)
[6] 丁文广, 冶伟峰, 米璇, 等. 甘肃省不同地理区域灾害与贫困耦合关系量化研究[J]. 经济地理, 2013, 33(3): 28-35. DING Wenguang, YE Weifeng, MI Xuan, et al. Quantitative study on the coupling relationship between disaster and poverty in different geographical regions of Gansu Province. Journal of Economic geography, 2013, 33(3): 28-35. (in Chinese)
[7] 王国良. 灾害对贫困影响评估指南[M]. 北京: 中国财政经济出版社, 2010. WANG Guoliang. Guidelines for assessing the impact of disasters on poverty. Beijing: China Financial and Economic Publishing House, 2010. (in Chinese)
[8] 王鹏涛. 西北地区干旱灾害时空统计规律与风险管理研究[D]: [博士学位论文]. 西安: 陕西师范大学, 2018. WANG Pengtao. Research on spatial and temporal statistics and risk management of drought disasters in northwest China. Xian: Shanxi Normal University, 2018. (in Chinese)
[9] 杜灵通, 宋乃平, 王磊, 等. 气候变化背景下宁夏近50年来的干旱变化特征[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2015, 24(2): 157-164. DU Lingtong, SONG Naiping, WANG Lei, et al. Characteristics of drought variations in Ningxia from 1960 to 2012 under back-ground of climate change. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2015, 24(2): 157-164. (in Chinese)
[10] 刘七军, 李昭楠. 地理资本视阈下西北民族地区贫困问题实证研究——以宁夏为例[J]. 兰州学刊, 2015(1): 167-172. LIU Qijun, LI Shaonan. An empirical study of poverty in northwest ethnic regions from the perspective of geographical capital: A case study of Ningxia. Lanzhou Academic Journal, 2015(1): 167-172. (in Chinese)
[11] 程欣, 帅传敏, 王静, 等. 生态环境和灾害对贫困影响的研究综述[J]. 资源科学, 2018, 40(4): 676-697. CHENG Xin, SHUAI Chuangmin, WANG Jing, et al. The impact of eco-environment and disaster factor on poverty: A review. Journal of Resources Science, 2018, 40(4): 676-697. (in Chinese)
[12] 宋超山, 马俊杰, 杨风, 等. 城市化与资源环境系统耦合研究——以西安市为例[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2010, 24(5): 85-90. SONG Chaoshan, MA Junjie, YANG Feng, et al. Coupled system of urbanization, resources and environment—A case of Xian. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2010, 24(5): 85-90. (in Chinese)
[13] 张朝辉, 王太祥. 荒漠干旱区生态脆弱性与经济贫困的耦合关系——以新疆和田地区为例[J]. 开发研究, 2018(1): 101-105. ZHANG Chaohui, WANG Taixiang. Coupling relationship between ecological vulnerability and economic poverty in desert and arid areas: A case study of Hotan Area in Xinjiang. Journal of Development Research, 2018(1): 101-105. (in Chinese)
[14] 万金红. 气候干旱带来的贫困挑战[N]. 黄河报, 2019-01-08(003). WAN Jinhong. Poverty challenge brought by climate drought. Yellow River, 2019-01-08(003). (in Chinese)
[15] 张雪芹, 孙杨, 毛炜峄, 等. 中国干旱气温变化对全球变暖的区域响应[J]. 干旱区研究, 2010, 27(4): 592-599. ZHANG Xueqin, SUN Yang, MAO Weifeng, et al. Regional response to global warming in China’s arid temperature changes. Journal of Arid Zone Research, 2010, 27(4): 592-599. (in Chinese)