哈密市秋季一场降水天气过程的模式检验

Model Test of a Precipitation Weather Process in Hami City in Autumn

摘要: 本文通过对比DOG_RAFS、EC、GRAPES_GFS、RMAPS_CA_3KM几家模式24小时降水预报与实况进行对比检验。统计四家模式对哈密市4个国家站及32个区域自动站降水预报的晴雨准确率。最后通过计算哈密市4个国家站和62个区域自动站MAE评分、RMSE评分，检验各家模式温度预报情况。

Abstract: In this paper, the 24-hour precipitation forecast of DOG_RAFS, EC, GRAPES_GFS and RMAPS_CA_3KM models is compared with the actual situation. The accuracy of precipitation forecast by four models for four national stations and 32 regional automatic stations in Hami city was calculated. Finally, MAE and RMSE scores of four national stations and 62 regional automatic stations in Hami city were calculated to test the temperature forecast of each model.