测度新冠疫情对消费者信心指数的影响

Measuring the Impact of COVID-19 on Consumer Confidence Index

摘要: 本文测算新冠疫情对我国消费者信心指数的影响，该综合指标从一个新的角度了解新冠疫情对我国经济的影响，以及消费者对我国经济发展现状的看法。通过结果分析，发现新冠肺炎对我国经济造成了负面影响。在短期内，疫情对经济造成了较大的冲击，消费者对短期内经济发展持消极态度，且消费者信心指数快速下降。然后随着我国经济生产活动逐步恢复正常，疫情对我国经济的影响逐渐减少，并且消费者信心逐渐回升，但相对常态还是偏低。

Abstract: This paper measures the impact of COVID-19 on our consumer confidence index, using this composite indicator to provide a new perspective on the impact of COVID-19 on our economy and consumer perceptions of the current state of our economic development. The analysis of the results reveals that COVID-19 has a negative impact on our economy. In the short term, the epidemic had a large impact on the economy, with consumers having a negative attitude towards economic development and a rapid decline in consumer confidence. Then as our economic production activities gradually returned to normal, the impact of the epidemic on our economy gradually decreased and consumer confidence gradually recovered but was still low relative to the norm.