我国城市公共AED设施市场规模预测研究——基于GM(1,1)模型

Research on Market Scale Prediction of Urban Public AED Facilities in China—Based on GM(1,1) Model

摘要: 本文通过灰色预测的模型，收集2014年至2021年我国城市公共急救设施AED的市场规模数据，数据显示2014年至2021间我国公共AED的市场规模复合增长达14.7%。由此构建了我国城市公共AED市场规模的预测模型，模型预测了2022至2035年我国公共AED设施的投入情况，从预测的结果来看，我国公共AED市场规模逐年增加并在2035年可能达到75.059亿元，公共AED投入数量的需求也随之上升。投放AED设施的社会意义大于其经济意义，对于我国建设健康中国具有重大影响。

Abstract: In this paper, the market scale data of urban public first-aid facilities AED in China from 2014 to 2021 are collected through the grey prediction model. The data show that the market size of public AED in China from 2014 to 2021 has a compound growth of 14.7%. Thus, a prediction model for the scale of China’s urban public AED market is constructed, which predicts the investment of China’s public AED facilities from 2022 to 2035. According to the prediction results, the scale of China’s public AED market increases year by year and may reach 7.5059 billion yuan in 2035, and the de-mand for public AED investment also increases. The social significance of AED is greater than its economic significance, and it has great influence on the construction of healthy China.