中国与东盟十国农产品贸易效率及潜力研究
Study on the Trade Efficiency and Potential of Agricultural Products between China and the Ten ASEAN Countries
摘要: 本文基于随机前沿引力模型和贸易非效率模型,估算2008~2019年中国与东盟十国农产品贸易效率和潜力,并分析双方贸易效率影响因素。研究发现,中国与东盟十国农产品贸易效率整体呈上升态势,除GDP、人口等自然因素外,政治稳定性、互联网普及率、是否签订自由贸易协定、商业自由度、投资自由度均会对农产品贸易效率产生影响。据此,本文为中国–东盟农产品贸易效率进一步提升提供思路和建议。
Abstract: Based on the stochastic frontier gravity model and the trade non-efficiency model, this paper estimates the trade efficiency and potential of agricultural products between China and the ten ASEAN countries from 2008 to 2019 and analyzes the influencing factors of trade efficiency between the two sides. The study suggests that the overall efficiency of agricultural trade between China and ASEAN is on the rise. In addition to GDP, population and other natural factors, political stability, Internet penetration, whether to sign free trade agreements, commercial freedom and investment freedom will also have an impact on agricultural trade efficiency. Therefore, this paper provides ideas and suggestions for further improving the efficiency of China-ASEAN agricultural trade.
文章引用:李晓钟, 庞菁菲. 中国与东盟十国农产品贸易效率及潜力研究[J]. 商业全球化, 2022, 10(4): 84-92. https://doi.org/10.12677/BGlo.2022.104010

参考文献

[1] 谭晶荣, 蔡燕林, 高颖, 王瑞, 李书彦. 中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家农产品出口贸易决定因素分析[J]. 农业经济问题, 2015, 36(11): 9-15+110.
[2] Stack, M.M., Pentecost, E.J. and Ravishankar, G. (2018) A Stochastic Frontier Analysis of Trade Efficiency for the New EU Member States: Implications of Brexit. Economic Issues, 23, 35-53.
[3] Muganyi, T. and Chen, H. (2016) Strategic Economic Partnerships, Exchange Rate Policy and Agricultural Trade: A Gravity Model Analysis of China’s Agricultural Trade Flows. Open Journal of Social Sciences, 4, 48-55. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[4] 李晓钟, 沈栋芳. 中国对“一带一路”沿线国家机电产品出口效率与出口增长效应研究[J]. 国际经济合作, 2021(1): 90-96.
[5] Jiang, W., Zhang, H. and Lin, Y. (2021) Trade Sustainability and Efficiency under the Belt and Road Initiative: A Stochastic Frontier Analysis of China’s Trade Potential at Industry Level. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 58, 1740-1752.
[6] 齐玮, 彭晓亚, 熊含瑜. “一带一路”沿线国家贸易便利化水平对进出口贸易的影响[J]. 统计与决策, 2021, 37(8): 144-147.
[7] 曹安, 汪晶晶, 黄如梦. 中国与“一带一路”沿线国家农产品出口贸易效率及潜力测算[J]. 统计与决策, 2018, 34(10): 113-117.
[8] 李月娥, 张吉国. 中国农产品贸易效率及潜力研究[J]. 统计与决策, 2021, 37(11): 112-116.
[9] Meeusen, W. and Van den Broeck, J. (1977) Efficiency Estimation from Cobb-Douglas Production Functions with Composed Error. International Economic Review, 18, 435-444. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[10] Aigner, D., Lovell, C.A.K. and Schmidt, P. (1977) Formulation and Estimation of Stochastic Frontier Production Function Models. Journal of Econometrics, 6, 21-37. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[11] Pitt, M.M. and Lee, L.F. (1981) The Measurement and Sources of Technical Inefficiency in the Indonesian Weaving Industry. Journal of Development Economics, 9, 43-64. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[12] Battese, G.E. and Coelli, T.J. (1992) Frontier Production Function, Technical Efficiency and Panel Data: With Application to Paddy Farmers in India. Journal of Productivity Analysis, 3, 153-169. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[13] 谢逢洁, 刘馨懋, 孙剑, 崔文田. “一带一路”沿线国家分类农产品贸易竞争与互补关系分析[J]. 统计与决策, 2021, 37(12): 112-116.
[14] 郭连成, 左云. 中国与欧亚经济联盟国家的贸易效率及潜力研究——基于随机前沿引力模型的分析[J]. 经济问题探索, 2021(3): 100-110.
[15] 赵金鑫, 田志宏. 中国对“一带一路”国家的农产品出口效率[J]. 西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版), 2019, 19(1): 111-117+127.