上海文化创意产业关联效应实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Correlation Effect of Shanghai’s Cultural and Creative Industries

摘要: 目的/意义：文化创意产业是提升其他产业能级的重要支撑点，其对制造业、服务业、新兴产业等都有带动作用。方法/过程：本文基于投入产出表对上海市文化创意产业与其他产业的前后向关联度进行定量分析。利用投入产出模型，对文化创意产业与上海区域经济各部门的直接消耗系数和完全消耗系数、影响系数、前后向度、关联度等指标进行测算分析，揭示文化创意产业的投入结构和产出去向，从而对产业之间的内在关联和驱动机制进行分析。结论/结果：1) 文化创意产业与其自身内部关联明显，且对租赁、计算机设备及技术、金融和零售业部门后向关联明显。2) 该产业作为需求性产业对城市经济的运行起到了重要的需求拉动作用，但对经济的推动作用较弱。3) 上海市的文化创意产业对各行业的影响比一般行业的平均水平要高，并且已经由培育、引导阶段进入了全面发展期。政府要加强对其的支持，并要借鉴高新技术产业的发展经验，要不断健全市场机制，优化技术发展的条件。

Abstract: Purpose/Significance: Cultural and creative industry is an important support point for upgrading the level of other industries, which plays a driving role in manufacturing, service and emerging industries. Method/Process: Based on the input-output table, this paper makes a quantitative analysis of the forward and backward correlation degree between Shanghai’s cultural and creative industries and other industries. The input-output model is used to calculate and analyze the direct consumption coefficient, complete consumption coefficient, influence co-efficient, front and back dimension, correlation degree and other indicators of cultural and creative industries and various sectors of Shanghai regional economy, so as to reveal the input structure and output direction of cultural and creative industries, and analyze the internal correlation and driving mechanism between industries. Conclusion/Result: 1) The cultural and creative industry has obvious internal correlation with itself, and has obvious backward correlation with leasing, computer equipment and technology, finance and retail industry. 2) As a demand-oriented industry, this industry plays an important role in the operation of urban econo-my, but its role in promoting the economy is weak. 3) The influence of Shanghai's cultural and creative industry on various industries is higher than the average level of general industries, and has entered the comprehensive development stage from the cultivation and guidance stage. The government should strengthen its support, learn from the development experience of high-tech industries, constantly improve the market mechanism and optimize the conditions for technological development.