电子商务发展与经济韧性的耦合协调关系研究

Research on the Coupling and Coordination Relationship between E-Commerce Development and Economic Resilience

摘要: 本文基于中国30个省域2014~2022年的面板数据，构建电子商务发展与经济韧性的综合评价指标体系，并采用熵权TOPSIS法和耦合协调度模型进行实证分析。研究结果表明：在2014~2022年期间，全国电子商务发展水平不断提升，呈现“东高西低”的空间格局；全国经济韧性不断增强，东部地区经济韧性始终高于中西部地区；电子商务发展与经济韧性耦合协调度逐年上升，但区域差异较大，部分省份耦合协调状态未改变。为此，提出了优化电子商务发展空间格局、提升经济韧性、完善耦合协调机制的建议。

Abstract: The paper utilizes panel data from 2014 to 2022 from 30 provinces in China to establish a comprehensive evaluation index system for the development of e-commerce and economic resilience. It employs the entropy weight TOPSIS method and coupling coordination degree model for empirical analysis. The findings indicate that from 2014 to 2022, the level of e-commerce development in China has continued to improve, displaying a spatial pattern of “high in the east and low in the west”. The economic resilience of the eastern region has consistently surpassed that of the central and western regions. While the coupling coordination degree between e-commerce development and economic resilience has increased annually, there are significant regional disparities, with some provinces’ coupling coordination status remaining unchanged. Consequently, three recommendations are proposed to optimize the spatial pattern of e-commerce development, enhance economic resilience, and improve the coupling and coordination mechanism.